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Train triumphs over long-term

The Lindsell Train investment trust has more than trebled share-holders' initial investment over the last decade.

By Mark Smith, senior reporter Follow
Friday August 10, 2012


Investors looking for growth over the long-term might wish to consider a globally diversified investment trust such as Lindsell Train.

With the UK economy in recession and the prospects for growth looking muted for several years to come, investors are increasingly looking to other markets to give their portfolios a lift.

Managers of global funds have a remit to seek out worthy companies from anywhere in the world. With the world’s economies all at different stages in their economic cycle, casting the net far and wide gives global investors a better chance of catching companies in markets that are on the up. The extra diversification also protects investors from any unexpected shocks.

FE Alpha Manager Nick Train, who heads up the top-performing CF Lindsell Train UK Equity open-ended fund, focuses on long-standing businesses and describes his approach as ‘value’ investing.

While investors in the open-ended product will be pleased with the top-quartile returns Train has generated, his investment trust - Lindsell Train has posted even better results.

Data from FE Analytics shows that the closed-ended fund has returned 87.45 per cent over the last five years, almost double that of the OIEC and more than 10 times the 8.1 per cent posted by the average Global Growth investment trust. Over the last decade it has returned 235.82 per cent.

Performance of investment trust versus sector over 10 yrs

ALT_TAG

Source: FE Analytics

Many experts consider investment trusts to be a better bet than their open-ended cousins over the very long-term because they are able to make use of gearing or borrowing money to take advantage of fast rising markets.

The structure also means that the managers don’t have to constantly adjust their positions to compensate for inflows and redemptions and are able to stay invested in companies for the very longer periods. The average holding period for investment trusts is considerably longer than for other types of investment.

Train has a significant overweight in Technology companies relative to the sector – 15.5 per cent of the portfolio is in Telecom, Media & Technology (TMT) stocks compared with 11 per cent from the average fund in the sector.

In a recent interview with FE Trustnet Train said that the world was on the brink of a long bull market for these companies.

“We are only at the beginning of a multi-decade boom in consumer technology. The biggest company on the planet, Apple, is rising at an annualised rate of 80 per cent, based on 40 per cent in the first half of the year.”

“It’s like the era of the railroads in the nineteenth century, and it’s difficult to find ways for a UK-focused fund to participate.”

Train lists games console manufacturer Nintendo in the trust’s top-10 holdings.

The fund is more aggressive than the sector average and is therefore more suited to investors who can tolerate capital loss. Our data shows the investment trust has an annualised volatility score of 15.48 per cent over three years while the average fund in the sector has a score of 12.68 per cent.

Charles Younes, fund analyst at FE, however, says that the extra risk is compensated for by the return.

“Train is confident about his stock-picking skills and does not hesitate to manage a concentrated portfolio of high conviction names. His approach might be considered risky by investors,” he said.

“Nevertheless, we definitely consider him as an excellent stock picker as he has consistently outperformed his peers and benchmark over the last few years.”



 
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jd Aug 13th, 2012 at 03:31 PM

The IT version is overvalued with a hefty premium to NAV, and a large bid/offer spread. For that reason I hold the OEIC instead.

Reply
Ark Welder Aug 10th, 2012 at 05:27 PM

A number of observations on LTI.

The largest holding at 15% is in the management company, which is unlisted. The maximum that it can be - and has been - is 25%. So performace of LTI affects the fees paid to the management commany, which in turn affects the performance of LTI.

Although the fees are waived on the 16.5% held in Lindsell Train's OEICs, their success - or otherwise - in attracting other fund holders, and in their performance, doubly impacts LTI because of the direct holdings and their fees generaged for the management company.

LTI's performance fee is based upon the yield available from an undated gilt. That gilt forms a 5% holding. Haven't quite decided yet whether that is good or bad for the investor.

LTI's fees are based upon the share price rather than net assets. This may explain the lack of share issuance to control the level of the premium, which might benefit existing shareholders but not necessarily those that are looking to buy in.

The premium is around 11% and the bid/ask spread around the same ( being (296-262) / 296 = 11.5% ), so the decision to be made is whether the performance of the trust over the investor's expected timescale will be enough to deliver outperformance compared to peers.

And it is an example of an investment trust that doesn't have a great deal of liquidity, so this might be an issue for those looking for a larger holding.

Reply
Ark Welder Aug 10th, 2012 at 05:30 PM

...apologies for the spelling. And it isn't even Friday night yet... ;-)

Reply
Theo Aug 10th, 2012 at 04:12 PM

There was a hint that this fund was in the Global sector, but there are 5 sectors called global something and it took me more time looking for its sector than reading the article.

When UTs and ITs are featured, it would be a great help if writers gave the full name of their sector immediately after the first mention of the fund's name, preferably in a live link, in colour. That will enable us to see its position and vital data in the league table quickly and easily.

Reply
Geoffrey Green Aug 10th, 2012 at 04:01 PM

Currently:-
Bid - 26,200p
Offer - 29,600p
Is that not a spread of c 13%

Reply
Frances Huggett Aug 10th, 2012 at 02:20 PM

would love to add to number of clients who've bought these shares - but as Dexi says, the premium to NAV is far too wide to allow recommending them now. The other funds Train manages are probably better bets OEICS or FGT (on a much lower premium)

Reply
Cash is King Aug 10th, 2012 at 02:20 PM

I make the spread 1.5%, still high for an IT

Reply
dexi Aug 10th, 2012 at 02:00 PM

Check out the b/o spread on this trust-its an amazing 12 % ! Maybe the oeic version would be better unless holding for many years.

Reply
 

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Fund mentioned in this article

Lindsell Train IT plc

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Group mentioned in this article

Lindsell Train Ltd

View factsheet

Manager mentioned in this article

Nick Train

View factsheet

Sector mentioned in this article

IT Global Growth

View factsheet

 

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