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Investors pile into Japanese funds

A growing number are keen on the country’s equity markets despite the serious economic issues it is facing.

By Thomas McMahon, Reporter, FE Trustnet Follow
Friday August 31, 2012


Japanese equities have seen huge inflows over the past year as money has been sucked out of Europe, the UK and the US, according to IMA figures. 

Money has also been flowing into emerging market, Asian and globally focused funds, but Japan is the surprising addition to that list, as a developed market with well-known demographic and debt-related issues. 

Inflows into equity funds by region

Region  Net retail sales - last 12 months 
Global  £2.6bn 
Japan  £240m 
Asia  £80m 
Europe  -£1.8bn 
UK  -672m 
North America  -126m 

Source: IMA

Data from FE Analytics shows that the IMA Japan and IMA Japanese Smaller Companies sectors are among the few to have a low correlation to the most popular sectors such as IMA UK Equity Income, suggesting they offer investors good diversification benefits. 

Over the past three years the IMA Japan and IMA Japanese Smaller companies sectors have a low correlation to all the other IMA sectors, with a score between -0.29 and 0.7.

Correlation of selected sectors over 3yrs

Name  IMA Global Equity Income  IMA Sterling Corporate Bond  IMA Sterling Strategic Bond   IMA UK Equity Income  IMA UK Index - Linked Gilts 
IMA Japan  0.52  0.03  0.14  0.52  -0.10 
IMA Japanese Smaller Companies   0.35  -0.01  0.06  0.37  0.01 

Source: FE Analytics

Richard Troue, investment analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown, said: "The country has been hit by everything that has been going on in Europe, but it is sheltered to some extent because a lot of Japanese companies are managing to capture growth in Asia." 

"Fifty-five to 60 per cent of Japanese exports are going to Asia and emerging markets rather than Europe or the US." 

Troue admits that there are serious issues in the Japanese economy, and this was highlighted this morning with the news that the Japanese government could effectively run out of money in a month.

Opposition politicians are blocking a finance bill, meaning that the country is facing a "fiscal cliff" similar to that threatening the US. 

Troue says that it is the quality of the companies and the cheapness of the market that is making investors look past these issues.

"A price-to-book of less than one is extremely low, and so investors seeking value have been looking to Japan." 

"It’s a developed market with high quality companies that are quite likely to capture long-term structural trends, so investing now with a 10-year view could be a good decision." 

"The drive to emerging market growth is relentless and a lot of Japanese companies are capitalising on growth in Asia in particular." 

"If you look at car manufacturers for example, the Asian consumption story is only just beginning. Honda, Nissan and Suzuki are all good companies that are seeing strong growth." 

Ruffer’s Steve Russell is among the growing number increasing their allocation to Japan. The FE Alpha Manager has 22 per cent of his Ruffer Investment Company, making it his biggest equity weighting.



 
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Ark Welder Aug 31st, 2012 at 06:56 PM

Are they piling in to domesticly-oriented stocks, or international? And of the latter, are they exporting from Japan or from offshore? An increasing number of companies have moved production to other Asian countries, and some to Europe.

The downside for the exporters though is the problems in Euroland, being Japan's third-largest export market. A similar problem for emerging market companies too.

Reply
Theo Aug 31st, 2012 at 05:14 PM

If you keep predicting a Japanese revival imminent every year, one day you will be proved right and then you will be able to boast you were the man who "called Japan" right.

Reply
valiant Aug 31st, 2012 at 11:34 AM

Oh dear, that suggests to me that Japanese stocks have further to fall.

Reply
dlp6666 Aug 31st, 2012 at 02:06 PM

Yes, but one day we may have the last laugh ...

Reply
Tiny Clanger Aug 31st, 2012 at 03:52 PM

And hopefully you'll still be alive to see it.

Reply
 

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