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Self-made portfolios a dangerous game, say experts

Investors who picked the very best sector-specific funds in recent years would still have fallen short of the best-performing multi-asset portfolios.

By Joshua Ausden, News Editor, FE Trustnet Follow
Friday September 07, 2012


Investors who rely on their own expertise to construct portfolios would be much better off handing the reins to a multi-asset manager or multi-manager, according to industry insiders, who believe funds of this type more than justify their higher fees.

ALT_TAG The reaction comes in light of a recent FE Trustnet poll that found 83 per cent of our readers prefer building a portfolio of different investments rather than holding a single “all-in-one” multi-asset fund. 

Richard Hancock, analyst at the Financial Management Bureau, says only professional investors with plentiful resources are qualified to make specific asset-allocation decisions. 

"I’m a big fan of multi-manager, even for my own personal investments," he commented. "Even before you take into account transaction costs, multi-managers have far more time and resources than an IFA." 

"They can also get access to certain investments that we can’t get exposure to." 

A highly rated fund such as Findlay Park American, for example, is unavailable to retail investors, but multi-managers can still access it. 

"Moreover, from an adviser's point of view, holding a number of specific portfolios is completely impractical; if I wanted to sell out of a Neil Woodford fund because I liked Threadneedle instead, I’d have to send about 400 letters to all my clients alerting them to the change. It’s ridiculous." 

Hancock rates Cazenove’s stable of multi-manager funds particularly highly, as well as David Coombs’ Rathbone Multi Asset Total Return and Multi Asset Enhanced Growth portfolios, and the Baring Multi Asset fund.

Paul Davis of Clear Financial Advice is of a similar opinion: 

"Why try and mimic someone like Martin Gray when you can buy the real thing? Yes, you have to pay a little more for the pleasure, but I’m of the opinion that you get what you pay for." 

"IFAs and private investors get all the information after the event, which is why you get so many people chasing returns that have already happened."

"Multi-asset managers – well the decent ones, anyway – are proactive rather than reactive, because they have superior time and resources." 

Davis is a big fan of multi-manager funds – listing Gray’s CF Miton Special Situations Portfolio and Cazenove Multi Manager Diversity as among his favoured options – but also likes single-manager multi-asset products, such as Sebastian Lyon’s Trojan fund, and Iain Stewart’s Newton Real Return portfolio. 

Even if investors manage to select the very best-performing sector-specific funds, it doesn’t necessarily mean they will outperform a proven multi-manager or multi-asset manager. 

According to FE data, a portfolio of every FE five crown-rated fund split across the current asset-class weightings in IMA Mixed Investment 20-60% Shares would have fallen short of four funds in the sector over five years. 

During this period, the fantasy portfolio would have returned 30.58 per cent – well short of the 57.48 per cent amassed by Steve Russell’s CF Ruffer Total Return fund. 

Performance of funds and fantasy portfolio over 5-yrs

ALT_TAG  

Source: FE Analytics

Three other funds in the Mixed Investment 20-60% sector – CF Cautela, Scottish Mutual Cautious and Invesco Perpetual Distribution – have also returned more than the fantasy portfolio.

The fantasy portfolio does come out on top of the sector over three years, however, but only 0.91 per cent ahead of Invesco Perpetual Distribution

It is the same story in IMA Flexible Investment; a portfolio of every FE five crown-rated fund split across the current asset-class weightings in the sector would have fallen short of five funds over five years. 

These include Trojan, CF Miton Strategic Portfolio and CF Ruffer Equity & General. The Trojan fund has also delivered more over three years.



 
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wwjd_andy Sep 11th, 2012 at 01:05 PM

...Turkeys are voting against Christmas.

Consider the incentives that the professional financial community have to keep us amateur investors fearful of our own ability and resources when the days of information asymmetry are long gone, and with RDR imminent.

The usual statistic quoted is that over 75% of fund managers don't beat their index, particularly when risk is factored in.

Also, investment trusts consistently outperform unit trusts, have lower fees, and are more accountable and transparent, yet our experts recommended very few ITs compared with unit trusts & OEICs: why? because they do not line their pockets with commission.

Reply
poulter Sep 10th, 2012 at 08:53 PM

"Experts beat the market every year"

Don't recall seeing that headline, so why do these "experts" think we should pay an extra layer of fees for another experts judgement(guesswork)? Simple: keeps the readies rolling in and salaries high.

The self-serving bluster of the industry is beyond belief - selecting from the data to support the argument is dishonest. Why does Trustnet publish this guff?

Reply
A non Sep 10th, 2012 at 06:49 PM

The primary aim of any fund manager should be to avoid losses, which inevitably cause concern, with growth secondary. This maxim was highlighted by Mark Slater, whose MFM Slater Growth Fund has held top spot in the UK Sector over 3 years for a long period. I totally agree with the earlier comment about consistency of management, which applies to a number of Invesco Perpetual funds, such as Neil Woodford's High Income Fund which despite its size claimed top spot in the Uk in 2011. Most IFAs who have focussed on investment business over the years must have a detailed knowledge about the specific needs of individual clients, unlike wealth managers, whatever they are, but are being approached to hand over portfolios. Having looked at the recommended funds in the above article....well! There is an old saying that "Where there'e muck, there's brass" so although it cannot be recommended to "ordinary" investors (and that is before the FSA introduces new rules on the subject of funds regulated elsewhere) one is bound to notice that New Earth Solutions is doing OK with carbon emissions etc in mind, local govt contracts and multiple income streams. Plus Vince Cable liked what he saw in Canford,UK!

Reply
Tiny Clanger Sep 10th, 2012 at 03:51 PM

Hello Truegrid. I don't know about golden rules because whenever I try to apply one it goes wrong. As a novice and not understanding the jargon you are at a slight disadvantage but that can easily be remedied. As an example of the sort of thing you should be looking for, load the factsheet for M+G Global Dividend. It's only been going for four years but point 1 is it has only had one manager so its performance is down to him. Under "Key Information" you will see "Fund vs Sector". The higher the fund's position (considering the number of funds in the sector) the better. Next to that is a box saying "ratios". Alpha should be a plus number, the higher the better, Beta should be less than 1.5, the lower the better, the Sharpe should be higher than 0.5 and the Info Ratio should be as high as possible.
Click "performance" on the top row and then scroll down to the bottom of the page. There you will find the fund's discrete performance for the last five years. The nearest thing I have to a golden rule is, don't buy any fund that has not done better than its benchmark in at least three of the five years.
Hope this helps.

Reply
Truegrid Sep 11th, 2012 at 03:21 PM

Thanks, Tiny Clanger for the comments and useful steer. I'll work though the MandG fact sheet and see where it takes me.

Reply
Truegrid Sep 09th, 2012 at 08:28 PM

Tiny Clanger has hit the nail on the head. As a novice and don't understand 90% of investment jargon but having just retired with a bit of surplus cash I diversified and followed what my father did in 1982 when he retired and last November when the market was low I spread half my non cash ISA allowance equally between 4 different funds. At the time of writing I have a paper profit of about £300. His golden rule, as with the footy pools and horse racing and other gambling was only put in what you can afford to lose. I have only 15% of my money in shares/ funds which I am comfortable with. i can,t avoid paying a fund manager but wouldn't contemplate paying an IFA to make the gamblING decisions on my behalf.
I stand by the adage that too much knowledge is a dangerous thing and am quite happy to gamble myself on intuition and broad indicators. I have learnt from TN, eg buy when others are selling (hence my purchases last November) but would be interested to,know other private investors golden rules for investing.

Reply
Yogesh Chandarana Sep 08th, 2012 at 08:51 PM

This article should have "advertorial" written over the top. There is a famous stock market saying: when you give your money to an expert to manage, the expert ends up with your money and you end up becoming an expert.
The fund management industry is designed to extract fees from the end investor. Whilst some funds offer good value to investors, to assume that building your own portfolio is any more "dangerous" (in terms of risk) than handing your hard-earned money over to a complete stranger (whose sole purpose is to extract fees and volume from a client) whacks of blatant scaremongering.

Reply
Tiny Clanger Sep 08th, 2012 at 04:27 PM

Unfortunately investment is much like horse racing; i.e.it's a gamble. Every week I get letters dropping through my door saying, "I am an ex trainer/jockey/owner and I still have a lot of contacts in the horse racing world. Back this horse, or this horse, you will double your money and you only have to pay me £100/£200/£300 per 6 months to keep the money flooding in." It's usually complete rubbish. I was brought up to take responsibility for my own actions so, when I look in a mirror, I can say that any gains are my good stock picking and any losses are my own stupid fault. I cannot get on with this culture that says "where there's a claim there's blame" and have a go at somebody else for my loss. As far as I'm concerned, it's my money and I am responsible for it.

If I allow an I.F.A or a manager of a multi-fund-multi-asset portfolio to take over investment decisions for me then I am no better off than paying one of these horse racing "gurus" to give me tips. I have no comeback against them if it all goes wrong because they hide behind the "nothing is guaranteed" mantra that covers them against such things. I'll keep doing it myself thanks very much.

Reply
Malcolm Mattok Sep 07th, 2012 at 06:24 PM

I put my faith in Henderson's Multi Manager Active Fund. It's been the worst performing fund in my portfolio. A very expensive fund with very poor performance.

Makes a mockery of this article!

Reply
No 1 investor Sep 08th, 2012 at 10:51 AM

That's what happens when you pick a poor fund with no track record. I chose jupiter merlin income and I've done rather better! As the article says, there's only a handful of top mm and multi asset funds - do the required research and they aren't hard to find.

Reply
Paul Davis Sep 07th, 2012 at 07:47 PM

With regards to the very first comment as an IFA I would question your research as it should be based on performance vs volatility over 3 and 5 years.

Reply
Law Man Sep 07th, 2012 at 03:41 PM

P.S. I have just read Thomas MacMahon's article of 06/09/12 "Lack of diversification in Multi asset funds".

With the perceptive comments of the other readers, I think this casts severe doubt on the validity of the argument made in the above article.

Reply
paco quay Sep 07th, 2012 at 03:35 PM

The article slightly misses the point. Essentially all multi manager funds and indeed IFA managed portfolios are managed versus an objective like "cautious" or "nearing retirement and will need income".
The world isn't like that anymore, if it ever was. Nobody knows what is going to happen over the next few years and nobody actually knows what is risky, defensive or whatever other characteristic.
An individual managing his or her own money can make decisions specifically related to their own circumstances, not versus some immediately out of date objective agreed with an IFA or restricted by the objectives of some multi manager fund.
The concept of spreading one's estate across a very wide range of asset classes and minimising correlation still applies but the top of the decision pyramid should be the individual, in my opinion.
Oh and as far as I can tell I have done no better or worse than a wide range of potential benchmarks over the last three or more years I have been managing my own estate but it is precisely in line with my cash, income, long term protection, inheritance and all other needs (which I reflect on with my wife about every quarter.

Reply
Theo Sep 07th, 2012 at 03:33 PM

I am at a disadvantage, having never heard of Richard Hancock or the Financial Management Bureau, but I commend him for his efforts to serve the interests of his employers.

If he has any data from his study, many of us will be happy to study them. If all he has is opinions, it will not do.

The same applies to the latest TN findings quoted by the author in support. I seem to remember an article here not long ago, on some previous FE study, with more or less the opposite conclusions. I follow the dictum: hear much and believe little.

Reply
 

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