Your Basket
Your Basket
There are no funds in your basket. To add funds to your basket use the Green Plus Icon wherever you see it next to a fund.
Fund name
Aberdeen American Growth  
Fidelity American  
Schroder UK Mid 250  
M&G Recovery  
Jupiter Merlin UK Growth  
Close Basket Open basket

Login

Login

Register

It's look like you're leaving us

What would you like us to do with the funds you've selected

Show me all my options Forget them Save them
Customise this table
 

Newton dismisses fears over UK Equity Income

James Harries says defensive large caps will continue to thrive until the developed world stops its deleveraging phase – which he does not expect to happen for another four years.

By Joshua Ausden, News Editor, FE Trustnet Follow
Thursday September 27, 2012


"Expensive" dividend-paying companies are on a premium worth paying, according to Newton’s Tineke Frikkee and James Harries (pictured right), who are unfazed by warnings over a bubble forming in the sector.

ALT_TAGFE Alpha Manager Steve Russell is one of a number of high profile names to have voiced concerns about high price-to-earnings ratios in income stocks, but Frikkee and Harries think the entire market is set for a re-rating. 

"I’m inclined to have a tolerance for valuations in the market place that I otherwise would not have had," said FE Alpha Manager Harries (pictured), who heads up the £2.9bn Newton Global Higher Income fund.

"In a world that is as uncertain and volatile as this, dividend-paying stocks will be expensive and popular on a relative basis." 

"It could turn into a nifty-fifty style situation seen in the US back in 1960s, but given the oddities of the economic backdrop, I believe quality stocks should have more of a tolerance." 

One of the biggest themes running through Newton’s investment process is how deleveraging will effect asset classes. Both Harries and Frikkee believe the process has only just begun, and will keep growth at low levels for the foreseeable future. 

"A deleveraging environment is quite rare, and from experience it goes on for a very long time," he said. "On average it lasts approximately eight years, and we’ve only had four." 

"Growth will therefore be difficult to come by, and in such a backdrop when returns are low and volatility high, quality companies that can generate cash and pay out a dividend are rightly in demand." 

Harries accepts certain sector in the market offer better value than others, but says there are plenty of options available. 

"Of course, we’re not the only ones who like equity income, and at the margin it is a little crowded," he continued. "There is less value in something like consumer staples, for example."

However, he points to telecoms, healthcare and large cap laggards that have underperformed in recent years as attractive areas.

"Look at a company like Sysco, which has lagged the market of late. However, it’s still a quality company, and is getting debt extremely cheaply – it’s just issued a three-year bond at 0.65 per cent," he said. 

Frikkee, who heads up the £2.27bn Newton Higher Income portfolio, agrees that the equity income market is by no means yesterday’s news

ALT_TAG"I firmly believe that the investment environment now is a very different one than it was [pre-2008]," she said.

"At one time a price-to-earnings ratio of 14 times in tobacco would have been outrageous, but now that is no longer the case." 

"Because of the economic backdrop and these stocks’ low volatility compared to the market, these should be on a premium."

The manager believes talk of expensive valuations in dividend-paying companies has been exaggerated anyway – particularly in the high income market. 

"Everyone is talking about the flight to yield, but we are still waiting for it," she said.

"The FTSE 350 Higher Yield index has unperformed the All Share in recent years. Over one year it has done better, but even year-to-date, higher yielders have underperformed." 

Performance of indices over 5-yrs

ALT_TAG 

Source: FE Analytics

Frikkee is unconvinced that the ECB’s bond-buying programme and QE3 in the US will have a positive impact on markets and has refused to increase her risk exposure.

"Nothing has changed as far as I’m concerned," she said. "In September everyone got excited, which has pushed prices up, but if you look at the fundamentals, what has changed?" 

"QE doesn’t fundamentally change anything – apart from increasing the levels of debt [in the Western world]. The debt levels in the UK are little changed and they haven’t even started in the US."

"As long as there is low growth and debt remains high, we’d rather tread the steady path."



 
Add your comment
Step 1: Tell us what you think...
 

Step 2: Prove you're not a robot...
You don't have to do this every time you submit a comment.

Login or register free and you won't see it again.
Enter the words above:
Step 3: Submit your comment...
Submit
 
Ark Welder Sep 27th, 2012 at 07:23 PM

Didn't the original Nifty-Fifty underperform the general market over the medium to long term?

Reply
 

Back to top of page

 

Follow FE Trustnet

Video Headlines

More Videos

Gleeson: The fund I’d back to hit a short-term target

GMT 07:00 | 15-May-2013

Gray: Market rally has made me more bearish than ever

GMT 15:30 | 30-Apr-2013

 
Poll

Do you own an Asia Pacific ex Japan fund that isn't run by Aberdeen or First State?

Yes

No

Vote

 
 
  • Stay connected with FE trustnet
  • Authorised and Regulated by the
    Financial Conduct Authority
  • © Trustnet Limited 2013. All Rights Reserved.
  • Please read our Terms of Use / Disclaimer
    and Privacy and Cookie Policy.
  • Data supplied in conjunction with Thomson Financial Limited,
    London Stock Exchange Plc, StructuredRetailProducts.com
    and ManorPark.com