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Investment trust sector is on its knees, says FE Alpha Manager Sullivan

The head of the top-rated CF Miton Special Situations fund says it is becoming increasingly difficult for multi-managers to get access to top-performing trusts.

By Joshua Ausden, News Editor, FE Trustnet Follow
Monday October 08, 2012


A severe lack of liquidity in the investment trust universe is making a huge bulk of the market “uninvestable” for fund managers, according to MAM’s James Sullivan (pictured).

ALT_TAGSullivan, an FE Alpha Manager who co-runs the top-rated CF Miton Special Situations Portfolio with Martin Gray, says he is a big fan of closed-ended vehicles and prefers them to their open-ended counterparts in certain areas. 

However, he has been left frustrated by their illiquidity, which he believes is a huge barrier to entry for multi-managers. 

"The liquidity in investment trusts simply isn’t what it used to be," said Sullivan, who also runs CF Miton Strategic Portfolio and CF Miton Arcturus. 

"Trading volumes are badly depressed. Market sentiment was hurt badly when discounts widened so dramatically and it hasn’t yet returned." 

"A lot of the market-makers have shrunk their books, which hasn’t helped matters either."

"We would like to invest in them – particularly those invested in illiquid areas like bricks and mortar, but right now the sector is on its knees." 

Sullivan says anything under £100m is "uninvestable" for his multi-manager funds, and that only funds with more than £250m would warrant careful consideration.

This eliminates a number of top-rated portfolios, such as Acorn Income IT, which has just £23m assets under management (AUM), as well as the five crown-rated £82.5m Aberdeen New Thai IT, which is the best-performing closed-ended fund of the last decade, with returns of 950.12 per cent. 

"This isn’t a big problem for the man on the street who is making smaller trades and is therefore able to get his money out far more easily," Sullivan continued. "However, it’s very difficult for those with bigger mandates." 

"This is why you don’t see the Jupiter Merlin funds holding trusts anymore – not because they’re not any good, but because the liquidity isn’t up to scratch."

"You see a lot of trusts in the tail of Neil Woodford’s portfolios because they make very good investments, but not at the top end," he added. 

Sullivan says the $445m NB Distressed Debt Investment trust, headed up by Michael Holmberg and Patrick Flyn, is one of the few that he and Gray hold in their portfolios. 

The MAM pair have also traded in and out of Anthony Bolton’s Fidelity China Special Situations trust since it was launched in April 2010. 

Sullivan says the matter is not helped by the huge number of small, underperforming trusts that are doing little to address their widening discounts.

He commented: "There are too many issues coming out that are sub-par. I’d like to see more M&A activity, so that some of the dead wood can be cleared out." 

He points to Troy Asset Management as one of the few firms that is looking to actively expand in order to improve liquidity.

"The Troy Income & Growth Trust took over a couple of portfolios earlier this year [Albany Investment Trust and Grampian Investment Trust]. Unfortunately, we’re not seeing enough of this though," Sullivan explained. 

Poor liquidity is likely to be a particular problem for funds of investment trusts, such as Jupiter Fund of Investment Trusts, M&G Fund of Investment Trust and the Unicorn Mastertrust.

FE Alpha Manager Peter Walls, who heads up the Unicorn portfolio, accepts there is a problem with liquidity, but says this is not exclusive to investment trusts. 

"There is generally a liquidity problem because trading volumes are so low," he commented.

"We’ve now had four years of political instability, and so many financial institutions have found it difficult to operate as they once did."

"There has been a reduction in turnover across the board, not just investment trusts. Trusts do have the ability to increase their liquidity through new issuance and share buy-backs, and it will probably be these that will be the most successful post-RDR." 

For long-term investors, Walls sees no problem with holding a sub-£100m trust. 


"Investment trusts are in general viewed as long-term investments – I’m not convinced there are too many investors who have made money from aggressively trading them," he said.

"We hold them on a three- to five-year view at the very least and would assume that liquidity will have improved by the time we sell once political uncertainty improves." 

Walls’ five crown-rated Unicorn Mastertrust is a top-decile performer in its IMA Flexible Investment sector over the last decade, with returns of 170.36 per cent. It is also top quartile over three and five years. 

Sullivan has a stellar record since he started running portfolios at MAM, delivering 20.73 per cent compared with just 3.62 per cent from his peer group composite.

He has also been significantly less volatile and was one of the very few to have posted a positive return in 2008. 

Performance of manager vs peer group since June 2008

ALT_TAG 

Source: FE Analytics

Since Sullivan joined the team as deputy manager, both the CF Miton Special Situations Portfolio and CF Miton Strategic Portfolio are top quartile performers in their IMA Flexible Investment sector, delivering 19.18 and 22 per cent respectively. 

He started co-managing the CF Miton Arcturus portfolio, which sits in the IMA Absolute Return sector, in December 2009.

Since then, it has returned 7.8 per cent – more than its sector average, but a touch less than its Libor 3m plus 3% benchmark, which is up 11.33 per cent. 

All three are funds of funds, have a minimum investment of £1,000 and a total expense ratio (TER) of between 1.73 and 2.13 per cent.



 
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Ark Welder Oct 10th, 2012 at 10:16 PM

What is Brewin Dolphin's opinion?

Reply
habanero Oct 10th, 2012 at 03:20 PM

Am I missing something? You describe James Sullivan as co-manager of "top-rated Miton Special Situations".
Is this the same fund which according to your own factsheet stands 178th out of 180 over one year, and 142 out of 152 over three years ? And has lost 1.4% against a benchmark gain of 11.6% over the last year?
Nothing "stellar" or "top rated" about this fund, in my view.

Reply
Tom O Oct 10th, 2012 at 09:46 AM

I'd been wondering why Aberdeen Asian Smaller had shot up so much recently. Now maybe I know.

Reply
Law Man Oct 09th, 2012 at 03:12 PM

I hold Murray Int (premium 10%) Aberdeen Asia Income(premium 5%) & Aberdeen Asia Small (premium 7%); in all cases as a long term SIPP investor.

As Gillian says, there is a risk that the premium rate drops. As she indicates, the remedy is to issue new shares. I have some recollection that recently TN said one of these ITs is going to issue some C shares for this very purpose.

In the meantime am I a "bigger fool" for not selling? TN commentators still recommend these ITs: e.g AAIF on 05/09/2012.

Reply
Ark Welder Oct 09th, 2012 at 06:27 PM

Aberdeen Asian Income is thinking about a C-share issue. Last RNS on this is dated 18th September

http://www.londonstockexchange.com/exchange/news/market-news/market-news-detail.html?announcementId=11333595

I hold all three trusts that you mention - AAIF since launch. The main question to ask is whether you think they will continue to match your investment requirements going forward. Only then think about whether the premium is an issue. But even if the premium does drop, the NAV could still increase at a faster rate than alternatives. So if you did decide to sell, what would you do with the proceeds? (not to be answered on here, just the next question to be considered!)

For me, the one that will be going sooner rather than later is MYI. But only because that one is in my SIPP and I'll be forced into 'doing something'.

Reply
gillian clough Oct 09th, 2012 at 08:27 AM

More trusts need to improve their actual performance.

There are about 30 trusts with excellent longterm performance. It may be easier to trade in and out for the retail invetsor, but the best trusts now suffer from a "crowding" problem - I have recently sold MYI, which is a wonderful trust, at a premium of 10.5% to NAV, and Aberdeen Asian Smaller at a premium of 12.8%. These are ludicrous levels, driven by the fact that longer term investors never sell, together with the regular "tipping" of the best trusts by the investment press and websites. With new buyers and no willing sellers, the premium and the price rises. The entire pool of investment money going into ITs is crowding into the top 30 trusts, which are making little effort to expand (Troy excepted).

Some trusts do - they cope with this by issuing new shares when the price goes to a premium, and this is the way to improve liquidity and hold the premia down to a reasonable level.

Otherwise, the only way to enter at a good price is t wait for a correction or a bear market, when t he price will dive by the market fall PLUS the high premium. Then the roller coaster starts again.

Thus, one of the reasons for preferring ITs to UTs has gone. It is only possible to benefit from larger discounts after a bear market. Conversely, the good ITs (and who would want to be in the average or poor ones?)suffer from longer term volatility, with those who hold them on tenterhooks half the time as to what may suddenly wipe out 10% of their savings. I have just sold to a bigger fool, having watched the premia for MYI and AAS on the FE charts rise at the exponential level that presages a big fall.

Reply
 

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