Your Basket
Your Basket
There are no funds in your basket. To add funds to your basket use the Green Plus Icon wherever you see it next to a fund.
Fund name
Aberdeen American Growth  
Fidelity American  
Schroder UK Mid 250  
M&G Recovery  
Jupiter Merlin UK Growth  
Close Basket Open basket

Login

Login

Register

It's look like you're leaving us

What would you like us to do with the funds you've selected

Show me all my options Forget them Save them
Customise this table
 

Russian reforms lay foundations for stock market surge

President Vladimir Putin is serious about opening the door to foreign investors, and the economy is stronger than many believe.

By Thomas McMahon, Reporter, FE Trustnet Follow
Friday May 11, 2012


Russian stocks are "ridiculously undervalued", according to FE Alpha Manager Elena Shaftan, who believes the new government’s economic reforms are making investing in Russia more attractive than ever.

The country’s GDP is predicted to grow at four per cent this year, its inflation is at an unprecedentedly low level of 3.7 per cent, and retail sales and investment each grew by more than 10 per cent in the first quarter, says Shaftan, who heads up the Jupiter Emerging European Opportunities fund.

Newly elected president Putin has promised to liberalise the economy, encourage foreign investment and privatise state services, and Shaftan believes that however sceptical observers may be about his intentions, Putin’s own interests will encourage him down this path.

"In order to secure his place in history as the leader who restored Russia’s greatness (a cause that he seems committed to), Putin is keen to ensure the economy grows above five per cent per annum," she explained.

"It appears he now understands that this is unachievable without reforms which liberalise the economy and attract foreign investment; hence the need to improve the investment climate and fight corruption."

The Russian government has altered regulations and tax rules to ease high-profile deals between government-backed gas company Rosneft and foreign energy companies to explore the Arctic, and this is just one of a series of reforms aimed at encouraging foreign capital into the country.

Shaftan points to changes that will bring regulation up to international standards and thereby allow UK-domiciled funds to buy the stock of Russian companies.

There is also an effort to encourage the payment of dividends, with the government expected to stipulate a minimum 25 per cent payout for state-owned companies.

"There seems to be a sea change in the dividend culture; returning cash to shareholders is becoming fashionable and respectable behaviour as companies begin to understand the culture of capital markets," Shaftan explained.

Analysts often say the Russian economy is too dependent on the price of oil, and president Putin’s pre-election spending promises were thought to be impossible without a significant rise in its price.

However, Shaftan claims that most spending promises were already budgeted in, and that if oil prices were to fall, a devalued rouble would ease the pain, while the government is strong enough to make budgetary cuts.

"Given the robust domestic macro and micro outlook, cheap valuations and little enthusiasm towards Russia, it is not hard to believe that the market could surprise on the upside in the coming months," she commented.

Performance of fund vs index since launch

ALT_TAG

Source: FE Analytics

Shaftan is positioned to take advantage if Russia does perform well, as her Jupiter Emerging European Opportunities portfolio has 73.54 per cent of its funds in the country, boosted by its three biggest holdings of Russian bank Sberbank and energy companies Gazprom and Lukoil.

She has managed the fund since it was launched in 2002, in which time it has returned 262.54 per cent, compared with 334.79 per cent from its MSCI EM Europe 10/40 benchmark.



 
Add your comment
Step 1: Tell us what you think...
 

Step 2: Prove you're not a robot...
You don't have to do this every time you submit a comment.

Login or register free and you won't see it again.
Enter the words above:
Step 3: Submit your comment...
Submit
 
wwjd_andy May 15th, 2012 at 04:29 PM

Shaften: easily the worst manager in this sector - avoid.

Reply
 

Back to top of page

 

Follow FE Trustnet

Video Headlines

More Videos

Gray: Market rally has made me more bearish than ever

GMT 15:30 | 30-Apr-2013

From the analyst's desk

GMT 10:00 | 29-Apr-2013

 
Poll

Would you be concerned if a manager of a fund you owned took charge of another portfolio as well?

Yes

No

Vote

 
 
  • Stay connected with FE trustnet
  • Authorised and Regulated by the
    Financial Services Authority
  • © Trustnet Limited 2013. All Rights Reserved.
  • Please read our Terms of Use / Disclaimer
    and Privacy and Cookie Policy.
  • Data supplied in conjunction with Thomson Financial Limited,
    London Stock Exchange Plc, StructuredRetailProducts.com
    and ManorPark.com