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Global dividend funds fatally flawed, says King

The manager says the growing tendency of foreign companies to return cash to shareholders won’t last.

By Thomas McMahon, Reporter, FE Trustnet Follow
Thursday June 14, 2012


Investors rushing into global income funds to profit from the growing dividend culture among foreign companies will end up getting their fingers burnt, according to Premier manager Simon King (pictured).

ALT_TAGKing, who runs three UK-focused equity funds, says that dividend payments are only really taken seriously in the UK and foreign companies will have no hesitation in halting the payments when things get difficult. 

"Companies tell you what you want to hear but when things get tough you will start to see problems," he claimed.

"The UK is the only market in the world with a true dividend payment culture."

With corporate balance sheets loaded with cash and companies keen to lure money from supposed safe-haven fixed interest investments, it has become more common for companies outside the UK to pay out dividends.

This change in culture has seen the launch of a number of high-profile global income funds in recent years, including Newton Asian Income, M&G Global Dividend and Newton Global Higher Income.

However, King says this policy is likely to be abandoned as soon as it is convenient, as shareholder payouts are not given the priority that they are in the UK, where cancelling a dividend would be far more serious.

"I’m not saying it will change in the short-term, but it’s when things become more difficult that they could take a turn for the worse," he said.

Data from FE Analytics shows that M&G Global Dividend has attracted more than £1bn in inflows in the past year on the back of strong performance and, along with Newton Global Higher Income and Newton Asian Income, sits in the 10 most popular funds in terms of inflows over this period. 

Performance of fund vs sector and index since launch

ALT_TAG 

Source: FE Analytics

Further Global Equity Income funds have been launched this year to take advantage of the trend, including Fidelity Global Dividend.

The manager, Dan Roberts, told FE Trustnet last week that dividends were rising in the UK, US, Europe and Japan, creating opportunities for fund managers with a global remit.

King says that the optimism may be misplaced.

"Japan has bought itself to death and I don’t think that will change, but elsewhere I am convinced the dividend will be the first thing to go," he claimed.

The manager of the Premier Strategic Growth, Premier Alpha Growth and Premier UK Mid 250 funds says the best opportunities for dividends are in the UK, despite the struggles of policy makers to get on top of the economic turmoil. 

"The Government doesn’t have the balls to take the long-term decisions that would be necessary to refocus the economy," he continued. 

In King’s view the corporate sector is doing well while consumers struggle, meaning the economy is "firing on one cylinder".

He commented: "They have managed to persuade the Government to take on most of the bad debt. Most are trading at or close to peak margins. I’ve never seen cash flows stronger."

"This is a combination of the fact that we aren’t so bad compared to other countries and success in keeping costs down – including salaries of course."

"However, as soon as things start to improve elsewhere, that’s when I would start to worry for the UK," he added.

King says the Government should focus on building up strategically important industries in the UK and gear policy towards them as is done in countries such as Germany and Japan.

He highlights the fact that the UK automotive sector – which produces more cars than Germany – has been successful in spite of Government action rather than because of it, and has subsequently created a flourishing car-part manufacturing industry.

Catalytic-converter manufacturer Johnson Matthey is King’s biggest overweight position in the Premier UK Strategic Fund.



 
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John Osborne Jun 14th, 2012 at 07:14 PM

How can Simon King possibly justify this view when there are so many well run international companies to invest in which not only give a good dividend but diversification and insulation against declining currency economy and stock market which has done nothing in over 10 years?
Of course the odd company will cut its dividend but then so have many UK companies over the years.
The UK equity income sector which he favours has been the place for high charges and complacent managers just tracking the FTSE 100 less fees for a long time now. Too many dog funds just raking in the charges and commission for advisors hiding under the industry's view of risk assessment. I remember complaining to a well known retail fund Company when they put their AMC up from 1 to 1.5% on their fund and receiving a most unsatisfactory answer. In a nutshell it appeared to be because one company got away with it so the rest followed.
I would much rather invest in investment trusts for this reason. There are some superb international income trusts like Murray International, Saints,Schroder Far East Income, Aberdeen Asian Income which have outperformed all the OEICs for years, with rising income, so this makes what King says even more unbelievable.

Reply
TJL Jun 14th, 2012 at 06:32 PM

I'm happily invested in Newton Asian Income and Global Higher Income, both of which I keep a regular eye on; if things go t**s-up I'll move my money.
Interesting to see a contrarian comment though - everyone and their auntie is suggesting global income when recommending income funds.
Hey-Ho.

Reply
steveo Jun 14th, 2012 at 04:10 PM

Give me a fund that produces income every time as the dividend stream will cushion the fund in times of capital values declining. Not sure how much I would value the opinion of King who has significantly underperformed for some time. Premier need to get their house in order as they cannot seem to retain a manager for any significant length of time according to TN data on the funds currently managed by King.

Reply
Keith Jun 14th, 2012 at 03:28 PM

Ever heard of American Company dividends ?

Reply
Theo Jun 14th, 2012 at 01:33 PM

Other things being equal, I too prefer UK Income funds but why is that sector such a mess? Eg.

1) Why are funds yielding as low as 2.7% in the "Income"sector, when funds yielding over 4% are in the UK All Co sector?

2) Why are funds allowed to call themselves "high income" when they yield less than plain "income" funds?

3) Does IMA allow fund houses to put their funds in any sector they want and call themselves anything they choose? I suspect they are out to create as much confusion as possible, in order to keep all their under performing members in business. As for FSA, I doubt they have noticed.

Reply
investor Jun 14th, 2012 at 09:31 AM

King, who runs three UK-focused equity funds,is probably annoyed that currently, money is invested in global funds and not in his UK funds.

Reply
 

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