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Single-stock risk threatens equity income investors

The search for yield is leading UK equity income funds to pile into the same few stocks, increasing the risks to investors.

By Thomas McMahon, Reporter Follow
Wednesday August 08, 2012


The huge inflow of money into UK Equity Income funds is creating massive positions in a few key stocks, which could expose the sector to serious risks if problems emerge in these companies and managers rush to draw out their money.

FE Trustnet data shows that 81 out of 102 funds – 79 per cent – in the IMA UK Equity Income sector hold GlaxoSmithKline in their top ten, with more than half – 54 – being more than 5 per cent invested in the stock.

Vodafone is a top ten holding for 76 funds, 41 of which have more than 5 per cent invested, while 71 funds – 70 per cent – have both companies in their top ten.

Proportion of funds holding UK stocks

  Funds with stock in top ten (%) More than 3 per cent (%) More than 4 per cent (%) More than 5 per cent (%)
GlaxoSmithKline 79 76 69  53 
Vodafone 75 72  66  40 
Royal Dutch Shell 63  59  52  39 
BP 62 56  43  22 
AstraZeneca 53  41  29  15 
BAT 49  43  30  14 

Source: FE Analytics

The largest and most popular funds in the sector are particularly exposed to this risk. Neil Woodford’s Invesco Perpetual Income and High Income funds have more than 5 per cent in AstraZeneca and GlaxoSmithKline, and also hold BAT, BT and Vodafone in their top tens.

Artemis Income, the third biggest fund in the sector, has as its top four holdings GlaxoSmithKline, Royal Dutch Shell, Vodafone, HSBC and AstraZeneca.

Halifax UK Equity Income holds 7.5 per cent in Shell, 7 per cent in BP, 6.1 per cent in GlaxoSmithKline, 5 per cent in Vodafone and holds BAT and AstraZeneca in its top ten.

Newton Higher Income holds 8.6 per cent in Shell, 8.2 per cent in GlaxoSmithKline, 6.9 per cent in Vodafone and holds BAT, BP and AstraZeneca in its top ten.

These five portfolios together have £30.07bn of investors’ money under management, much of which is invested by pension funds or those hoping to live off the income from their investments. 

AWD Chase de Vere’s Patrick Connolly (pictured) says investors should think about diversifying their income investments outside of the UK to avoid over-exposure to the same stocks. 

“In the past income investors have focused their efforts on UK equity income funds, so have been duplicating their holdings.”
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“That trend is changing – one or two funds are moving down the market cap scale in the UK, but a bigger trend and one we are looking at is diversifying into global or individual country income funds.”

“There’s no need to have all your income investments in the UK anymore.”

Our research shows that the search for yield has led managers to concentrate largely on the same few large-cap companies, but recent history shows the danger of such a strategy.

Standard Chartered was the latest FTSE 100 blue-chip to be dragged into a scandal, accused of laundering money for Iran and threatened with the loss of its New York banking license.

The bank had previously been widely praised as the most secure and well-run UK bank, with its business in Asia seen as having the potential to carry the bank through the economic turmoil.

HSBC was recently caught up in a similar money-laundering scandal, and our research shows it features in the top ten of 33 out of 102 funds in the sector.

The Gulf of Mexico disaster that caused BP to cancel its dividend in 2010 is an example of an unexpected “black swan” event hitting an equity income favourite.

The company currently features in the top ten of exactly half the 102 UK equity income funds.

With the massive inflows into these companies from the sectors funds, any rush to sell out would be particularly damaging for the companies and the funds invested in them, whether it was inspired by a “black swan” event or a sudden turning away from the sector of investment fashion.

Funds are currently not required to report more than their top ten holdings, so the degree of convergence of their investments is potentially even higher.

Robert Love, head of research at Asset intelligence, said: “We are careful looking at individual funds in the sector. It’s important to look at overlap in between funds. You have a lot of people chasing after the same stocks.”



 
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Tiny Clanger Aug 09th, 2012 at 02:37 PM

So where's the 3rd comment then?

Reply
Theo Aug 08th, 2012 at 03:46 PM

At what %age is it supposed to be too risky for a fund to hold a company in its portfolio?
At any level, a successful managers' critics can say it is too much and get cheap publicity.

Even a 20% price fall in a share, which is very rare and could be reversed, will only make 2% difference in the price of a fund holding it at 10%. Such difference is not far off what you can expect in a week.

Further more, the TN fact sheets, in spite of giving no warning of performance fees, do give the level of holdings and good volatility figures which automatically include the risk of share concentrations. They are there to be read by those who need something new to worry about every day.

Reply
Andrew Alexander Aug 08th, 2012 at 11:37 AM

Advisers who are not already aware of this should step away from the desk and stop giving any element of investment advice. Forever.

Reply
 

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