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Gleeson: The funds I’m ditching from my pension portfolio

The head of FE Research highlights the importance to investors of regularly updating their pension and offers an insight into what funds he is selling out of at the moment.

By Rob Gleeson, Head of Research, FE
Friday October 26, 2012


Like most people I have a personal pension that – thanks to the decline of final salary schemes everywhere – I am personally responsible for.

ALT_TAG Unlike most people I have access to some of the most advanced financial planning and fund analysis software on the market, yet despite this I have fallen into the trap of not paying anywhere near enough attention to my pension portfolio.

Given that I spend most of my time demonstrating ways portfolio management can be done better, it is high time I put my own house in order and start to practise what I preach.

By sharing my actions, hopefully I’ll be able to inspire others to take more control over their own financial futures.

According to the log in the database I haven’t changed this portfolio since 29 April 2010.

In that time the FTSE has risen by as much as 30 per cent from peak to trough, and experienced periods of loss as great as 16.9 per cent, so it is with some relief that I find my current pension portfolio has made a touch under 15 per cent since I last looked at it.

While I don’t subscribe to the notion of a rigid asset allocation strategy, the first thing I want to see is how far the current portfolio has drifted from the one I started with. Rather surprisingly, not that much.

With the largest movement coming from Investec Enhanced Natural Resources, falling from an allocation of 10 to 8.45 per cent, I have to wonder whether my negligence has actually been a good thing.

Frequent rebalancing would have incurred a charge and yet my current portfolio appears to have rebalanced itself. Analysis suggests that if I had stuck to a disciplined quarterly rebalancing schedule I would have gained an extra 0.33 per cent.

My pension funds

Holding Name  Original weighting  Current weighting 
Aberdeen - Emerging Markets  20  20.71 
Fidelity - South East Asia  20  18.47 
JOHCM - UK Equity Income  15  16.21 
M&G - Strategic Corporate Bond  15  16.09 
BlackRock - European Dynamic  10  10.42 
Fidelity - American Special Situations  10  9.65 
Investec - Enhanced Natural Resources  10 8.45 

Secondly, I want to review my holdings and the asset allocation they provide. When constructing the portfolio first time around I went to the effort of filling in an attitude-to-risk questionnaire. The resulting profile put me in the highest risk bracket, “Risk Level 5 21+ Years”, using the tools from eValue FE.

The suggested asset mix for this profile was: 10 per cent UK equities, 60 per cent international equities, 20 per cent emerging markets and 10 per cent property.

I additionally made the tactical decision back in 2010 to reduce my exposure to developed market equities and increase my exposure to emerging markets and commodities.

Also, I’m sceptical of property as an asset class and decided an allocation to strategic fixed income offered better diversification.

Two-and-a-half years on, what I’ve ended up with is less aggressive than before: 15 per cent fixed income, 40 per cent UK equity, 35 per cent international equity and 10 per cent property.

This is a decent starting point, but I still don’t like property. I also don’t like how these models pander to home bias and boost UK equity.


Moreover, regardless of risk profile, I always want some exposure to emerging markets. My approach does not take the asset allocation too seriously; the key for me is the risk profile.

If I decide to take extra risk in emerging markets, I’ll try and offset that by choosing a more conservative fund somewhere else. This way, although I may stray a long way from my target asset mix, I never stray too far from my target volatility.

Now it’s time to assess what funds I want to get rid of. My new asset allocation, even after I’ve added my tactical overlay, leaves no room for a pure commodities fund, so that means Investec Enhanced Natural Resources is out.

Even though it has been the worst-performing fund in the portfolio, I still like it. It does an excellent diversification job and allows me to push on in other riskier asset classes. However, the idea of a performance fee has never sat very well with me in truth and I had already decided it probably wouldn’t make the cut even before I started.

Aberdeen Emerging Markets and Fidelity South East Asia together make my portfolio far too China-heavy for my liking. Aberdeen remains an excellent fund but Fidelity’s offering has lagged recently, becoming a third-quartile performer since  the period I bought it.

Performance of fund vs sector since April 2010


ALT_TAG

Source: FE Analytics

This is a classic cautionary tale of “past performance doesn’t guarantee future performance”, because at the time it was added it was one of the best-performing funds.

I’d like to think I wasn’t too heavily swayed by that at the time, but although I can’t remember my exact reason for including it, I’m sure it probably played a part.

It also has high charges and, as a result, I’m also ditching this fund. No doubt next time this will be the basis of another cautionary tale of why not to sell underperforming funds, but no matter.

My main consideration is tactical, and I want my emerging market exposure to have a more even split between Asia and Latin America.

BlackRock European Dynamic and JOHCM UK Equity Income both stay, for now. When reconstructing my portfolio I may decide to swap one for some small cap exposure – as long as there is room in the risk budget, of course.

Moreover, I have some niggling doubts about the Jo Hambro fund. While I think it is fantastic, it is dangerously close to reaching its maximum sustainable size – something both fund managers are also concerned about and that JO Hambro is trying to deal with.

One of the projects I’ve had in mind for some time is to try and find “the next” JOHCM UK Equity Income fund – one with a mid cap focused income mandate with less than £250m assets under management (AUM), and with plenty of room to grow.

Unicorn UK Income is on my radar, but this matter will take a fair bit of thought and I’ll probably shelve it for now

M&G Strategic Corporate Bond also has size issues, but for now I think it is still one of the very best fixed income funds available and it survives the initial cull.

Performance of fund vs sector since April 2009

ALT_TAG

Source: FE Analytics

Finally, Fidelity American Special Situations is cut. The fund has disappointed ever since I bought it, especially as it has a style which I thought would hold it in good stead in the early stages of an economic recovery.


While it still might have this potential, my selection process has evolved and this fund no longer makes the cut based on my updated criteria.

Now that I’ve stripped the portfolio back to its usable parts, I’m ready to find funds to fill the void. In next week’s piece I’ll go through my choices, which may mean some further culling if I find something that catches my eye.

For anyone worried I’ll be sat in cash for a week, relax – I actually intend to carry out the whole process over the weekend.



 
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Cheeky australian Oct 29th, 2012 at 06:50 AM

Good work Rob. This is a great piece and seems to have got everyone thinking.

It might be fun to see how some of the editorial teams' portfolios are holding up.

...PD?

Reply
Peter Davies @ createwealth.co.uk Oct 28th, 2012 at 10:33 AM

Rob - have you looked at Gervais Williams' Accuim fund

Reply
John Castle Oct 27th, 2012 at 12:22 PM

For me, this was a really interesting article because I felt it added the subtext to Rob's decisions. Few other comentators do this. Great added value. Could the next article also mention the impact of "trading costs"? There are no free lunches - changing investments have costs so that frequent changes can be unwise. Thanks Rob, great article.

Reply
Phil Shaw Oct 27th, 2012 at 09:02 AM

@Theo ;
Why he chose SIPP over ISA....probably down to annual contributions limits non?.... In relation to what I'd expect his salary to be, I would expect his annual contributions will exceed £11280 don't you think? Allied to that, the 40% (or probably 50%) tax relief is a phenomenal leverage......

Reply
Theo Oct 26th, 2012 at 07:24 PM

I congratulate Gleeson for having the courage to show us his fund investents, and praise his logical approach. I am very surprised however that he chose a SIPP over an ISA. It is a fatal mistake.

Re his JOHambro fund, high TERs and performance charges do not matter too much in the short term, but there the trap lies because, if left in for the long term, they become a huge burden.

I hope Gleeson maintains his discipline of assessing and rebalancing his funds regularly, but unfortunately few other investors do that, whatever their initial intentions. I estimate that most of the present investors in Manek Growth have been there from the beginning, 15 odd years ago and it is not because they like its performance.

Reply
TJL Oct 26th, 2012 at 06:54 PM

Comes across as a very honest article.
Nice to see the professionals are as human as the rest of us.
I vote for Unicorn Income, and am thinking of upping my holding. Out of the funds and investment trusts I hold and am considering, it's right up there - not sure what's not to like?
If I remember right it has a low TER as well ? (might be mistaken).

Reply
Doug Battersby Oct 26th, 2012 at 04:16 PM

Where are the invetment trusts an ETFs?

Reply
Andy Buxton Oct 26th, 2012 at 04:02 PM

Great article, my picking of funds is based on a managers average performance allied with short term performance. I find it hard to believe that some manager have achieved -1.2% over 5 years and still have jobs or investors!!
Being older I don't want to wait 5 years to see a fund perform... or not.. in most cases. Unicorn Income is worth a punt!
AndyB

Reply
Bob Donaldson Oct 26th, 2012 at 03:37 PM

You have time on your side but you are investing in many funds which have a large cap bias. It has been proven time and again that small caps tend to produce better growth over the longer term but are slightly volatile.

I would have suggested some good old die hard fund managers who have produced consistent results for some of your monies but get into small caps for the long run.

You don't need to be an expert to pick the winnners their are plenty out there both in the UK, Europe, US and even using Investment Trusts such as Scottish Oriental Smaller Cos

Reply
Peter Ian Codd Oct 26th, 2012 at 03:17 PM

Just about the most useful / realistic article I have seen in FE in the last 15 months demonstrating a number of interesting perspectives and challenges to some of the "professional" articles we get. I wonder if there are other FE analysts with perhaps a lower risk appetite who would be prepared to be just as open as Rob Gleeson has been here?

Reply
DavidMunro Oct 26th, 2012 at 03:15 PM

Interesting article which made me think that my funds need a review.

Well written and easy to read.
David Geddie

Reply
Rob Gleeson Oct 26th, 2012 at 02:29 PM

Re’ the JO Hambro UK Eq Inc performance fee - I don't like that either, but regard the fund highly enough that I've put up with it. It is a compromise, when I find a fund I like better without a performance fee I'll probably switch.

Reply
dlp6666 Oct 26th, 2012 at 02:28 PM

Most fascinating to 'eavesdrop' on Mr Gleeson's well informed thought processes - hopefully some other TN analysts can similary share their own personal pension portfolio choices and background reasonings.

Reply
Robert Oct 26th, 2012 at 11:14 AM

Interested to note that Mr Gleeson has also elected to invest regionally rather than simply lumping everything into a one size fits all global fund.

Reply
Tiny Clanger Oct 26th, 2012 at 09:57 AM

If the idea of a performance fee has never sat very well with Mr. Gleeson, why is he holding the JOHCM fund?

Reply
 

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