Connecting: 216.73.216.83
Forwarded: 216.73.216.83, 104.23.197.13:22736
Increased risk tempers charms of GEM | Trustnet Skip to the content

Increased risk tempers charms of GEM

07 April 2011

Lazard’s Kevin O’Hare believes emerging markets are still a good bet in the long-run, despite near-term headwinds.

By Lora Coventry,

Senior Reporter, Financial Express

Growing unease caused by unrest in the Middle East and a recent flight of speculative money have dampened fund manager Kevin O’Hare’s short-term enthusiasm for the region.

"Recent investor outflows are a sign that speculative capital is leaving the asset class and the unrest in the Middle East has also introduced a new, significant risk [to emerging markets]," said O’Hare, who heads up Lazard Developing Markets.

"On balance, at the current, reasonable valuations, we believe those with long-term objectives should maintain an exposure to this asset class, especially in more conservative strategies."

O’Hare says near-term headwinds mean he’s less optimistic than he has previously been for some banks, and so he has cut exposure in this sector.

"Emerging markets have seen a number of interest rate hikes, reserve requirement increases and increasing political interference in day-to-day operations in the banking and other financial sectors," he continued.

The fund’s largest exposure relative to the MSCI Emerging Markets Index is Russia, a country the manager says is inexpensive even when accounting for the high levels of political risk associated with investing there. He favours a bottom-up approach.

The fund is also overweight information technology, a sector where O’Hare says earnings are growing strongly, but his biggest sector position is in consumer discretionary.

Talking on the current weakness of emerging markets, O’Hare says the downward market movements are cyclical and believes this will present a number of potential buying opportunities.

"The price-to-earnings discount of emerging markets to developed markets has become more favourable over the past few months due to the underperformance of the former," he added.

"The current valuation discount results in our continued belief that the asset class offers attractive value over the long-term."

Performance of fund vs sector over 6-months

ALT_TAG

Source: Financial Express Analytics

Financial Express data shows the fund has returned 7.2 per cent since its launch six months ago, and performed in line with the IMA Global Emerging Markets sector.

Editor's Picks

Loading...

Videos from BNY Mellon Investment Management

Loading...

Data provided by FE fundinfo. Care has been taken to ensure that the information is correct, but FE fundinfo neither warrants, represents nor guarantees the contents of information, nor does it accept any responsibility for errors, inaccuracies, omissions or any inconsistencies herein. Past performance does not predict future performance, it should not be the main or sole reason for making an investment decision. The value of investments and any income from them can fall as well as rise.