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Consumer stocks approach good value | Trustnet Skip to the content

Consumer stocks approach good value

15 February 2011

Trustnet Alpha Manager John McClure’s largest underweight is UK retail, but he thinks it is about to become a good buy.

By Joshua Ausden,

Reporter, Financial Express

UK consumer stocks are close to reasonable value and are likely to feature more prominently in the Unicorn UK Income portfolio in the next six months, says Trustnet Alpha Manager John McClure.

The manager remains underweight UK consumer for the time being, but believes stocks are fast approaching a reasonable valuation range.

"While some companies have experienced much stronger-than-expected earnings during the recovery, particularly in the engineering sector, the UK consumer has not been as confident," he said.

"[Consumer stock] prices are already cheap, and we happen to think that interest rates will go up marginally, which will deal them another blow."

"UK consumer stocks will become even cheaper as a result of this, which will present us with a buying opportunity. In the next six months, we will be looking to up our exposure," he confirmed.

"With a company like [highstreet bakery] Greggs yielding more than four per cent, it is clear that opportunities are beginning to present themselves."

McClure believes the gentle recovery in the British economy will continue even if interest rates do increase. He says he is already reviewing quality consumer companies in anticipation of more attractive valuations.

"I don’t feel the need to up our exposure just yet, but it’s on the cards," he added.

UK retail is the manager’s biggest underweight position at present, but he believes even stock prices in this sector are approaching a reasonable level.

McClure has recently been made a Trustnet Alpha Manager, in acknowledgement of his outperformance in both rising and falling markets.

His Unicorn UK equity fund is the best-performing in its IMA UK Equity Income sector over one-, three- and five-year periods.

Performance of fund vs sector and index

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Source: Financial Express Analytics

Financial Express data shows the fund has outperformed its sector by more than 33 per cent in the last five years, and its FTSE All Share benchmark by 21 per cent.

The manager says this outperformance has been driven by his preference for stocks that generate their earnings from overseas.

Castings, the fund’s biggest holding, produces and exports truck parts to emerging nations such as Brazil and Russia, for example.

"This has been one of my best-performing stocks. Truck sales in emerging markets are going through the roof – according to results from the last quarter, Castings can’t keep up with the demand," he said.

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Data provided by FE fundinfo. Care has been taken to ensure that the information is correct, but FE fundinfo neither warrants, represents nor guarantees the contents of information, nor does it accept any responsibility for errors, inaccuracies, omissions or any inconsistencies herein. Past performance does not predict future performance, it should not be the main or sole reason for making an investment decision. The value of investments and any income from them can fall as well as rise.