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Leaving risk behind | Trustnet Skip to the content

Leaving risk behind

11 February 2010

A review of sales figures suggests investors forwent performance for lower volatility in the past year.

By Martin Wood,

Research Consultant, Financial Express

Figures published recently by the Investment Management Association have put some flesh on the anecdotal claim that households have not just tightened their belts during the recession, but have turned from boom-time spenders into hard-times savers. In headline terms, net retail sales of unit trusts and OEICs totalled £25.8bn in 2009, outstripping the previous best year - 2000 - by 45 per cent. This record uptake brings total funds under management to £480.8bn, another high. In a further boost to the industry, ISA sales reached £2.8bn after 5 years of net withdrawals.

Over the year, bond sales outstripped equities by £9.9 to £7.3bn, but it was a game of two halves. Bonds surged ahead in the first 6 months of 2009, but then dropped back as the equity rally that glimmered in March sparked into life over the second half. This represents a significant bounce-back for equities, which saw a net sell-off of £1.25bn in the annus horribilis of 2008.

Funds grouped in the IMA's 'Other' category were the third-biggest beneficiaries of this influx, logging net sales of £4.97bn; and the interesting statistic here is that absolute return vehicles accounted for over half of the total, with sales of £2.5bn. We do not have to go too far back to find sceptics pooh-poohing the idea of the absolute return approach while they jockeyed ahead on the back of the bull market. But the past 2 years of turmoil is just the sort of period that absolute return funds were designed to cope with, and their increased popularity is justified when we look at this performance chart.

Absolute Return vs. UK All Companies, 2yr
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The IMA's sector league table puts Absolute Return as the top seller in December 2009, with net retail sales of £511m. This is just ahead of Property with £510.9m, which had been the top sector for the two previous months. Absolute Return was the second most popular IMA Sector for the whole of 2009, and was number one in both September and December. The £2.5bn in sales accounted for 10 per cent of new investments in funds in the year.

Sterling Corporate Bond was the most popular sector during 2009 as a whole, topping the sales chart from January to August, and posting total net retail sales of £6bn for the year. Nearly a quarter of money invested in funds during 2009 - 23 per cent - went into a fund in this sector.

The appetite for fixed interest paper extended to the Strategic Bond sector, which logged net sales of £1.96bn and rose to third place.

Property came fourth overall for the year and accounted for £1.6bn in net retail sales. It came first in both October and November 2009, and was only narrowly beaten to the top slot by Absolute Return in December. This is a dramatic reversal of the position in 2008, when Property was down at number 33, with a net outflow of funds of £466m.

Popularity is arguably the last reason for investors to opt into a particular sector, and when we take a closer look at how these favourites performed last year it seems to bear out that view. Our table sets out the IMA's top sellers. 

Sector name TR %   
 IMA Absolute Return 8.61
 IMA Property  14.44
 IMA Sterling Corporate Bond   14.31
 IMA Sterling Strategic Bond  20.75
   
Source: Financial Express Analytics; alphabetical order; total return bid-bid from IMA UT and OEICs universe; rebased in pounds sterling; data from 31 Dec 2008 to 31 Dec 2009.

Few people surveying the paucity of gains to be had from a high street savings plan would have been disappointed with even the lowest of these numbers. But it is important to put them in context. The links will connect to full listings of the funds that comprise each sector, and reveal the range of very different outcomes that go to make up the mean.

Looking beyond, it may not have won any popularity contest but the Global Emerging Markets sector kicked up a storm last year, with a total return of 57 per cent in just 12 months. This is a sector that has been less affected by crunch conditions, and more nimble in engineering a return to growth. For those whose affinities lie closer to home, resilience and dynamism can also be detected in the UK Smaller Companies group, which chalked up a gain of 50 per cent overall.

As ever, the relationship between reward and risk must inform any foray into these regions of the investment world. Sticking with the favourites would expose investors for the most part to volatility in single digits, and the Absolute Return sector reins this back to around 4 per cent. It is a different story when the returns hit those spectacular 50 per cent levels, and investors can expect to encounter volatility that averages in excess of 20 per cent, with some individual funds offering rollercoaster lurches either side of the median return. These are investments for people with a long time horizon, and nerves of steel.

Sectors

ACS Absolute Return ACS Property - Global AM Absolute Return AM Property - Global FO Absolute Return FO Property - International Bgm Mt Absolute Return Bgm Mt Property Swiss Absolute Return Swiss Property - Global ID Absolute Return ID Property Off Mt Absolute Return Off Mt Property - International Off Ins Absolute Return Off Ins Property - International ILG Absolute Return ILG Property DM Absolute Return DM Property ILN Property IDN Absolute Return Ire Off Absolute Return Ire Off Property - International IDP Absolute Return IDP Property Test Absolute Return Gbl ETF Absolute Return Gbl ETF Property - International FM Absolute Return FM Property OR Absolute Return OR Property - International FE Gl Absolute Return FE Gl Property - International GM Absolute Return GM Property - Global GCC Off Absolute Return GCC Off Property - International Gbl Shr Absolute Return Gbl Shr Property - International HKM Property NeM Absolute Return NeM Property HK Property OI Global Emerging Markets Equities OI Sterling Corporate Bond OI UK Smaller Companies AIB Absolute Return AIB Property - Global IM Property - Global HK OI Absolute Return HK OI Property - International LM Absolute Return LM Property AMI Absolute Return AMI Property - Global Mly Mt Property LF Global Emerging Markets Equities LF Sterling Corporate Bond LF UK Smaller Companies NZ KS Property - Global NZ PIE Property - Global NoM Absolute Return NoM Property NZ Super Property - Global NZ MI Property - Global PN Global Emerging Markets Equities PN Sterling Corporate Bond PN UK Smaller Companies UK Psv Property UK Psv Sterling Corporate Bonds UT Targeted Absolute Return Retail UT Global Emerging Markets Retail UT Property Other Retail UT Sterling Strategic Bond Retail UT Sterling Corporate Bond Retail UT UK Smaller Companies Retail ARI Absolute Return ARI Property - Global Sgp Mt Absolute Return Sgp IL Property Sgp Rt Absolute Return ASP Absolute Return ASP Property - Global UM Absolute Return UM Property - International SM Absolute Return SM Property IT Global Emerging Markets IT UK Smaller Companies UT Targeted Absolute Return UT Global Emerging Markets UT Property Other UT Sterling Strategic Bond UT Sterling Corporate Bond UT UK Smaller Companies UK SP Absolute Return OS Absolute Return OS Global Emerging Markets OS Property OS Sterling Strategic Bond OS Sterling Corporate Bond OS UK Smaller Companies

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Data provided by FE fundinfo. Care has been taken to ensure that the information is correct, but FE fundinfo neither warrants, represents nor guarantees the contents of information, nor does it accept any responsibility for errors, inaccuracies, omissions or any inconsistencies herein. Past performance does not predict future performance, it should not be the main or sole reason for making an investment decision. The value of investments and any income from them can fall as well as rise.